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The “Next West:” Up in the Air

An inspiring western ranch project aims to reverse global warming.

By Courtney White, 3-17-10

John Wick.

John Wick.

In early March, I had the privilege of visiting a project in northern California that felt very much like a preview of the future.

If the current ‘New West’ is inexorably giving way to the ‘Next West,’ as so many ‘New Wests’ have done before, and if the region is in search of a new mission statement as a consequence, then clues to what’s coming might be found among the bright green grass of a small ranch in Marin County.

At the very least, it is certainly something new under the sun.

It’s called the Marin Carbon Project and its goal is nothing less than reversing global warming. That’s a tall order, of course, especially for one family, a few hundred acres, a small herd of cattle, and a handful of scientists.

The idea behind the project is simple: it aims to sequester excess amounts of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) in the ranch’s soil. This is important because we know that to reverse climate change we need to do two things: (1) reduce emissions of greenhouse gases, especially CO2, by a lot; and (2) increase sequestration so that the level of CO2 in the atmosphere drops from its current level of 389 parts-per-million down to 350 ppm (or lower).

While the vast majority of current climate change legislation, regulation, activism, and proposed solutions focus on reducing emissions, the truth is these actions won’t avert a climate calamity by themselves (assuming they actually get implemented). That’s because we’re already over the 350 ppm threshold for CO2. The science is clear: we need to pull CO2 out of the atmosphere as well as reduce emissions.

That’s where the Marin Carbon Project comes in. Globally, there are only three major ‘sinks’ that can readily absorb excess (or ‘legacy’) CO2: the planet’s oceans, vegetation, and soils. The oceans are absorbing a great deal of CO2 right now – and acidifying as a result. This is not a good thing, for many reasons – and at some point the oceans will reach a saturation level. Vegetation – trees mainly – can take up a lot of CO2 but it can just as quickly release it back into the air via fires, decomposition, and clearing for agricultural activity, which means it isn’t a safe place to store carbon for long periods of time.

That leaves soils. By one estimate, three times more carbon is stored in the planet’s soils than in the atmosphere. Small increases in soil carbon content, research shows, can sequester large amounts of legacy CO2. In California, scientists estimate that an increase of 1 metric ton of carbon per hectare on 50% of the state’s rangelands could sequester 42 million metric tons of CO2 emissions per year. That’s almost equivalent to the total annual emissions from California’s commercial and residential sectors combined. An increase of 5 metric tons per year across California’s rangelands could nearly offset that Golden State’s entire transportation sector!

I don’t know about you, but I find this news both awesome and inspiring.

The partners in the Marin Carbon Project, including landowner and rancher John Wick, aim to expand and enhance the soil organic content of the ranch’s soils through innovative land management that includes cattle. In a nutshell, the goal is to grow more grass – the deeper the roots the better. They can do this with active cattle management, but they are also experimenting with compost applications to the soil.

Early results are promising. At a presentation I attended for a visiting delegation of academics from China, the lead researcher, Dr. Whendee Silver of UC Berkeley, reported that the carbon content of the sample plots had increased in only one year – suggesting that the goal of a net increase in sequestration of greenhouse gases (after deducting methane and CO2 production from the ranch) is possible.

Of course, more research is needed, as she said, before any definite conclusions can be drawn from this project.

But if this work holds up then all sorts of possibilities come into play. Nearly one-third of the planet’s land surface is rangelands. That’s a lot of potential CO2 sequestration. There are a lot of rangelands in the West too. What if they were ranched for carbon? And that’s just for starters. According to the leaders of the Marin Carbon Project, managing land for soil health produces a wide variety of co-benefits, including better wildlife habitat, an improved water cycle, and a local food economy (which reduces emissions).

At this point, all of this is a long shot. But as the West searches for a new mission statement to go along with its next ‘New West,’ it might consider its role in the fight against climate change. I don’t know if this is practical or possible yet, but it’s definitely worth talking about.

You can read Courtney’s entire series of columns, which are presented as a sequence, on his New West archive at www.newwest.net/courtneywhite. See the most recent columns below.

The New, Carbon West
Understanding the ‘New’ West: Whither the Public Lands?
The Geography of Hope
After the West’s New Gold Rush



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