The Human Landscape / Column by Courtney Lowery
Flattops and Farmers: How Personality Plays in Montana’s Tester v. Burns Race
By Courtney Lowery, 6-29-06
Sen. Max Baucus, although not usually the beacon of quotability, said something very interesting and rather heartfelt at a rally in Missoula two weeks ago for senate candidate Jon Tester:
"It comes down to the values of the people who represent us back there. He's genuine; he's the real deal. That is so important when issues come up."
And perhaps he's right. If the last few weeks of the U.S. Senate race between Tester and Sen. Conrad Burns are any indication, the values, the heritage, the trustworthiness in a candidate are important -- especially here in Montana. (Otherwise, neither candidate would be spending so much on establishing it.) As Craig Wilson, pollster and professor of politics at Montana State University-Billings says, personality can be "more important than the party label" here.
In general, personality is always important in politics, Wilson says, but "probably in Montana, it's more important than in other states."
I like to think we're an independent lot here -- pragmatic, thoughtful voters who cast ballots from gut reactions, not knee-jerk ones.
But how important IS a haircut? (The whole flattop flap, by the way, has been taken "as far as it can go," Wilson says.)
How important is heritage? (Conrad Burns was ready to deflect the jabs about him being from Missouri at Sunday's debate, saying, "Jon, I got here as fast as I could.")
How about a candidate's ties to lobbyists (Abramoff in Conrad Burns' case) or other politicians (Teddy Kennedy or Chuck Schumer? in Tester's case)?
As this race develops the issue of character is intensified by the personalities involved, Wilson says. A race involving Max Baucus just wouldn't be as interesting. Nor, for that matter, is the Denny Rehberg vs. Monica Lindeen race. Nothing against any of these folks, but they just aren't as magnetic as either Tester or Burns. We're all glued to this race more than any other race because, yes, perhaps there is more at stake, but also, it's just a better story. It's about personality and character and that is why we're excited about it -- and why we connect with it. And, that's a good thing. It's a tired idea, I know, but the personal really is political.
Several times on New West, I've been taken to task for paying too much attention to character. I'm guilty of that. The thing is, I'm attracted, both journalistically and personally to people first and policy second. I realize some might see that as a weakness in either or both aspects of my life, but I know full well that I'm not the only one out there who cares about character. And, I do think in some ways, it makes me better in both parts of my life. When I interview people, I connect with them. And, because I'm incredibly empathetic (to a fault really), I'm able to see both sides of a story. I'm only able to do that, however, if I make that connection and if I trust the person telling the story.
In this particular story, I've always had access to Tester, so I've connected with him. I've had some access to Burns, but not enough to look him in the eye and really see what he's made of.
It's the policy and personality where I'm torn in all of this. I just don't know how much weight to give either. I like Jon Tester as a person. He represents the slice of Montana I care most about: rural Montana. He comes from a background similar to mine. He speaks my language and frankly, reminds me of a little of my Dad, only bigger and more eloquent. Naturally then, I'm drawn to him as a journalist and as a citizen. On the other hand, I honestly see that Conrad Burns has done some good things in this state. For one, he brings good chunks of change back to small towns -- for things like broadband and bridges and roads and sewer infrastructure and small-town airports. While this is partially grounds for Tester to say during the debate that Burns spends like "a drunken sailor," in D.C., it can make a big difference in Montana communities.
"What back there looks like pork, back home it's more like bringing home the bacon," Wilson says.
I have no doubt Tester would do the same, and that rural Montana would be at the forefront of his mind while in D.C. But, he won't have the seniority right off the bat and for better or worse, the connections.
Seniority, after all, is what this week helped Sen. Burns get a provision in the Interior Appropriations Bill that would prevent all new drilling leases on the Rocky Mountain Front. Granted, the move might be moot by the time the bill runs through each committee, conference committee and both houses. And, it might just be a savvy political move meant to appeal to a base of voters Tester is faring very well with. But the bottom line is, he did it -- and that will bode extremely well across the state. The Front is one of those issues Montanans -- across all spectrums -- have attached themselves to.
This is where Burns shines. He's never going to touch Tester on character. While there's no way of telling how the Abramoff scandal will affect Burns in the long run, it's done enough damage to put Burns too far behind Tester to catch up in the morality race. His campaign tried, out of the chute, to break down Tester's character appeal by saying he's tied to east-coast liberals (they're still trying that, by the way. Hence the Shumer reference above). It would be a stretch to say it's backfired, but it is pretty darn close. Using Liddy Dole to talk about what Montana needs just doesn't fly here.
What Burns can win on is issues -- and we saw that strategy shift at the debate this weekend: what were Burns' biggest talking points? Agriculture, Iraq and taxes. Those will be his big sellers. He can rattle off bill numbers of taxes Tester voted for while simultaneously telling people he voted to kill the estate tax. And, he can say he brought help home to places that needed it.
Tester has his own talking points on issues and they're all worth just as much merit as Burns'. They're also worth the same scrutiny.
The thing is, we're able to quantify issues better than we can personality. We can ask, straight up, "do you believe we should drill in the Rocky Mountain Front?" or "Do you think we should stay in Iraq or form an exit strategy?" But, it's harder to ask, "Do you identify with Conrad Burns? How does he make you feel?"
"It's an intangible that's virtually impossible to measure," Wilson says.
Personality is indeed the ultimate immeasurable. But that doesn't lessen its importance. One of the things I love about Montanans is that we do value a handshake and take people at their word. It's a value I grew up with, as did many of you. And we should continue to trust that instinct and use it. Yes, even in politics.
As Baucus pointed out: Issues should and will come up, but we must measure those issues with the values of whom we think will work on them.
The question then looms for us and for me: Is character important enough to win or lose elections? Important enough to ignore the issues altogether?
I'd wager yes to the first question, but then I'd demand a big fat no to the second. So would Wilson. Personality and policy go hand-in-hand, he says.
So, let's get the discussion pointed toward the important stuff. What are the issues New West readers care about in this race? What should we be pressing the candidates on? Conservation? Energy independence? Public land management? Taxes? Iraq?
Give me the questions and I'll look for the answers. We'll all need them come November.
In the meantime, don't forget to listen to that gut of yours.
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I first met John Tester when I was a junior in high school on one of those yearly "trips to the capital" that rural schools like mine, and I'm sure yours, offered. Mostly, it was just a day away from Highwood (oh...thankyouthankyouthankyou), but our tour guide for the day was John Tester, as he was the Senator from our district. No one could have been kinder to a bunch of peak hormone farm kids set free for the day, despite the fact that we were not voters. This has stuck in my memory all these years, and I will unashamedly say that when I have to choose between Tester and another Democrat, I will always choose Tester.
Another kind man we met that day was Marc Racicot, and despite the fact that I will not vote for him if ever given the opportunity again, I think the poll numbers during his administration showed that his personality carried him all the way to the top of the Republican Party.
Then there was the "Dump truck" lady from Butte...
This race will devolve into a hideous mudfest by November. The battle-scarred winner will then be sent off to Washington to be besieged by 32,000 registered lobbyists and the unrelenting peer pressure of "vote for my bill and I'll vote for yours."
Extreme partisan politics has stripped character from the national scene and alienated politicians from the will of the people. Anyone up for a "tea party?"
In addition to smoking out the candidates on coal development, another issue is drugs. Today there is a report of two MSU students arrested on murder charges related to drugs. Although not meth in this instance, meth is growing scourage on Montana communities.
Keen observation. While I'd like to stay optimistic about this, your point is on the money. With both candidates aiming for "grassroots" in this campaign, you've got to wonder when people will start to realize that there's just too many spotlights on this race to maintain "grassroots" while still managing to keep up.
I'll bring the tea.
It's unfortunate that the reality of present-day politics has become so down-right mean.
Though a conservative (not a Repubican!), I have a great deal of respect for Jon Tester's knowledge, common sense and dedication to us folks in Big Sky country. But, all the good intentions in the world will get steamrolled by the Beltway Behemoth if Tester should win.
I see only one solution to the power/money vortex that fuels the engine of national politics. If enough people let ALL politicians know that most us see them as despicable sellouts, they just might start getting scared, as well they should.
Then again it might take a more interesting form of protest to make these elected officials understand that they are not doing the will of the people.* And I'll have a little lemon with my tea, please.
*Maybe the USA should be split into red/blue regions following disctinctly different "wills!"
It doesn't seem to matter, during drought times in Montana, to the Corps of Engineers and the Bureau of Reclamation to tap Tiber, Fort Peck, Hungry Horse, and Libby Dam to send Montana water to other states for Mississippi barge traffic or Columbia drainage salmon. Where do both candidates stand on making Montana's water needs a higher priority? What plans do they have to make this happen?
Where do the candidates stand on keeping Amtrak service alive for Montana communities?
Where do the candidate stand on the monopoly RR situation that takes advantage of Montana farmers and grain shippers? http://www.usatoday.com/money/industries/2006-07-05-rail-shippers-usat_x.htm
>>In Montana, 39% of grain shipments originating in the state in 2004 paid the highest rates, up from 14%. Farmers shipping grain to Portland, Ore., from Nebraska, where there are two railroads, pay the same as farmers in Montana, served primarily by one railroad, although the distance from Nebraska is twice as far, said Dale Schuler, of the National Association of Wheat Growers.<<
This project has the potential for significant air particulate and water pollution. As senator how will each candidate deal with this issue across the Montana border?
NK doesn't do anything without approval from China. Is this really about China's desires for Taiwan? Should the US defend Taiwan from military assault from China?
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-deficit9jul09,1,5735320.story?coll=la-headlines-nation
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Agency Sees Record Corporate Tax Receipts
The report will let the White House announce a $100-billion cut in the U.S. budget deficit.
From Bloomberg News
July 9, 2006
WASHINGTON — Corporate tax receipts this year will probably cross the $300-billion threshold for the first time, boosting efforts to trim the U.S. budget deficit, the Congressional Budget Office said.
The budget agency, in its monthly review released Friday, estimated that corporate receipts would exceed $330 billion in fiscal 2006, up 18% from 2005. That is double the increase that the agency estimated at the beginning of the government's fiscal year, which ends Sept. 30.
The White House Office of Management and Budget is expected to announce Tuesday that, because of the increased tax receipts, the deficit will be about $100 billion less than what was projected six months ago. President Bush pledged in his 2004 State of the Union address to halve the deficit by 2009.
"We are on track to meet the president's goal," said Rob Portman, White House budget director.
Congressional analysts say the deficit could drop this year to $300 billion, down from $318 billion in 2005 and from an all-time high of $412 billion in 2004.
A smaller deficit might give Republicans ammunition to rebut criticism of their economic policies ahead of the November congressional elections and to deflect arguments that U.S. fiscal policy risks hurting the global economy.
The Congressional Budget Office said federal spending through June was 8.6% higher than in the first nine months of fiscal 2005. It attributed much of the increase to Katrina and Rita recovery efforts, interest on the public debt, and the Medicare prescription drug plan.
The Treasury is drawing an increased share of its revenue from corporations, with companies providing 13% of total tax revenue in fiscal 2005, up from 10% in 2004 and from about 7% in 2003.
Individual tax payments, which make up the bulk of the government's tax revenue, total an estimated $791 billion so far this year, up about 14.1%, the Congressional Budget Office said.
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Given both corporate and personal tax revenues are way up, what do the candidates say about tax cuts now? Doesn't this large uptick in tax receipts validate keeping more money in the private sector to generate increased tax revenues?
Canadian beef imports and BSE is hurting Montana beef producers. Where do the candidates stand on this?
Where do the candidates stand on the 2007 Bill and the conservation programs that it funds?
Where do the candidates stand on the claim that the US govt. owes the tribes $176 billion?
How would each candidate recommend that this terrible tragedy by memorialized to honor the slaughtered innocent people?
How does each candidate define clean coal and their level of support? How much more should Montana votes expect to pay for clean coal power as defined by the respective candidates?
This project was designed to created a workable process to attack urgent problems and achieve attainable results. The first time Climate Change appears on the list is at 27.
What are the candidates top 5 priorites for Montana and why? What are the candidates top 5 priorities for our nation and why?
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Food-crop biofuels given thumbs down
Corn ethanol and soybean biodiesel are not future energy solutions.
Richard Van Noorden
Producing biofuels such as ethanol from food crops isn't worth the effort. That's the conclusion of a new and painstaking study published this week in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Researchers should instead concentrate either on producing ethanol from indigestible plant material such as cellulose, or on synthetic hydrocarbon fuels.
The comprehensive study finds that if all the corn (maize) produced in the United States last year were removed from food supplies and turned into ethanol, just 12% of US gasoline demand would be offset. Turning soybeans into diesel would account for only 6% of US diesel demand...
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Given this latest scientific evidence should the federal government end it's subsidies for food crop to bio-fuel industries. Why or why not?
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