Growth Policy
One Last Stump for Responsible Infill
By Kirk Siegler, 11-07-05
Sustainable growth. Livable neighborhoods. Mike Kadas says they can happen simultaneously.
The outgoing Missoula mayor said as much today in what will probably be one of his last pitches for responsible, in-fill development. His speech was part of the Practical Ethics Center’s Ethics at Noon series on campus.
Missoula has grown exponentially since 1990 – or – in real terms – by about 23 percent. And in that time, median home prices have nearly tripled – from around $65,000 in 1990, to $185,000 today.
“We can change the character of our neighborhoods by doing nothing,� Kadas says, making a jab at opponents of infill in the city’s urban core.
The mayor’s push for high density development has largely been shelved by the current city council, though Tuesday’s election could radically change things. Nonetheless, several candidates are running on platforms promising to “protect the unique character of neighborhoods.�
Part of the resistance to infill stems from a frustration among some residents in neighborhoods like the Franklin to Fort part of town, who say high density developments aren’t coming with any of the promised amenities. Amenities like more open space or parks around the crowded lots, or ramped up public transportation to serve their neighborhood's influx of new residents.
This was noted to the mayor in a cordial manner by one of his speech’s some forty attendees.
Kadas responded that the entire system of decision making needs to change, and he faults himself for prior glitches in the debate, as much as anyone else.
Still, he thinks a conservative growth vision, one that bans new housing developments in the urban core, is short sighted, especially if the city continues to grow by two-percent annually. The mayor says Missoula is at a crucial crossroads, and he thinks high density development, if done right, can create more livable neighborhoods and more affordable housing.
“If we freeze supply, the city is going to be so ugly, because only the rich people will be able to live here,� Kadas says.
That’s what Boulder did, in part, in the early seventies. Facing a similar predicament that Missoula’s now in, that similarly-sized city on the Colorado Front Range bought up a greenbelt of open space on its perimeter, capped the amount of building permits issued, and in the process created a beautiful public parks system, all the while effectively stonewalling Denver’s encroaching sprawl.
But it wasn’t all good news. Housing prices and rents would soon skyrocket, and, like Missoula, homes started popping up in allies especially on University Hill, to compensate for the shortages.
But Boulder today has an aggressive high density development strategy, one that’s focused largely on design, which Kadas considers key to selling infill and planned neighborhood clusters (or PNC’s) to some Missoulians resistant to change.
“We are going to run out of space if we continue with two dwelling units per acre,� he argues. If Missoula doesn’t adopt a progressive growth strategy for both its established and newer neighborhoods, Kadas says, more and more people will be living in the Longmonts of Colorado and the Clintons of Montana. And the mayor thinks the economic diversity is what makes communities like Missoula so unique, and in some cases, so hip.
Nearby Bozeman, less than half the size of Missoula, is also grappling with seemingly insurmountable growth, though city policies there, like Boulder, encourage more than six dwelling units per acre. That said, much like Missoula, soaring housing prices in Bozeman have caused an exodus of residents to outlying areas, like Belgrade, where land is cheaper, and big, manicured lawns are aplenty.
But unlike the roomy Gallatin Valley, Missoula is restricted by basic geography. The publicly owned open spaces and steep faces of Mount Jumbo, the North Hills and Mount Sentinel mean growth can only go west.
Kadas thinks by going west, the city should encourage more high density developments like Canyon Creek Village near the airport, and Hellgate Meadows behind Home Depot. Both are on public bus routes, and both are designed around existing and new retail centers, in hopes that new suburbanites won’t be bound to their car for daily errands.
Whether new, progressive developments in the suburbs will truly achieve the same popularity as the established University or Slant Street districts, is the million dollar question. Though most old and new residents here agree on one thing; eventually, Missoula’s growth will be capped, by those geographical realities, and not political ones.
That’s why the mayor is insisting the debate on growth shift to sustainability.
“We need to ask, how is this going to work in fifty years?� Kadas says.
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Comments
Champions of 'infill' development - a word that I think is far overused and very misunderstood, IMHO - seem to think, automatically, that PNC's and a one-home-per-city-lot philosophy will automatically solve the crisis of escalating real estate prices. It won't, and it hasn't.
The numbers, sadly, show the tale. While the Median home cost as nearly tripled since 1990, the median income hasn't even doubled (moving from $30,400 in 1990 to $53,500 in 2005).
If high density development had been a solution, there would have been some relief on the housing market in the last 4 years, but there hasn't. Nada.
In my neighborhood, PNC's are selling, off the shelf, as it were, for starting prices in the neighborhood of $185,000 to a high of $220,000. This is clearly not affordable. And to be clear - when I talk about PNC's, I'm talking about those homes that are sitting on one city lot, 30 or 35 feet wide, with sideyard setbacks of 3 feet (6 feet between houses.) The ones that no one is allowed to do anymore. The homes that are prohibited by the 'scraping ordinance.'
And for reference, recognize that 'affordable' in the true HUD sense of the word means, approximately, that the home you purchase is no more than 3 times your yearly income - your mortgage payment, home insurance, and utility bills should not exceed 30% of your gross monthly income. (I have to wonder if any of the candidates, mayor or council, know what affordable means...)
Affordable housing provides many solutions, including a healthy, vital economy. But with more and more people paying a greater percentage of their income into housing costs - instead of things like local restaurants and entertainment and retail purchases - things that self-perpetuate a healthy vital economy by creating nice healthy vital workforce opportunities - what we end up with is and overworked, underpaid middle class, a population that increasingly is unable to bear the tax burden needed to support the infrastructure, and a whole bunch of businesses that are struggling to 'get by'.
Looking at the numbers, the next Mayor might need to concentrate on the enhancement of the economy, by courting real, high-paying industry/jobs with whatever he/she can do to entice them back to the valley. Perhaps after working on helping people get meaningful, profitable work, the rest of the answers might be easier to find?
Both of these candidates voted for the scraping ordinance, and both pledge committment to affordable housing, with both talking about having the housing agencies provide it - but know this: None of the housing agencies are geared towards providing housing for persons making 80% or more of the median income. Remember the numbers above? Few of what is being offered now on the market is affordable to those people (me included). So what we can expect is to have a whole bunch of multi-family rentals available for people who make 50% and less of the median income, living in housing subsidized by the taxes of those of us making 80% and more the the median income.
If Missoula truly wants to provide affordable housing, it could start with some design standards, going back to permitting PNC's - but making sure it holds developers to the rules, and require a public hearing - and writing up some sort of restrictions on those units to ensure that greed doesn't take over immediately after approval, and guarantee that the homes are truely 'affordable'.