Over the Horizon Line | Hal Rothman
Wildfires: What is to be Done?
By Hal Rothman, 6-23-06
Fire season again approaches, and as always, we’re prepared physically to fight the annual cycle of fires that sweeps the western U.S. every summer. The fire bosses have congregated, the computer models and the weather reports are ready, the training has begun, the Hot Shot crews are poised, and the smokejumpers stand prepared for the call. Bring it on!
Psychically it’s a different story. Americans no longer know how to deal with wildfire.
We used to suppress it. With the settlement of the West more than 100 hundred years ago, fire became the enemy and the remedy became suppression -- putting out every fire as soon as possible after it started.
The policy began when the U.S. military fought fires in nineteenth-century national parks, carried on into the Forest Service, and became standard operating procedure for all federal agencies.
The pinnacle of suppression was the 1930s 10 AM policy. Under it, all fires were to be put out by 10 AM the morning following the first report of fire. This leap of faith required a strong belief in the human ability to control nature that wasn’t always born out in experience, but it made for a clear and strong objective.
Stopping the fires before they started was equally important and it took a different guise. “Remember, only you can prevent forest fires,” Smokey the Bear told generations of American kids and adults, and the charming bear persuaded us to put out campfires and crush out cigarettes. This too had its shortcomings, but it gave the public something to aspire to.
For seventy years, this was the mode of fighting fire in the West, and it worked -- more or less. Oh sure, there were a couple of big blowups -- the mythic 1910 fire season, when most of the northern tier burnt, is the most well-known -- and these made headlines throughout the nation. But by and large, firefighters fought fire off well enough and the policy of suppression persisted in the 1960s.
Then came one of those sea changes, a new way of looking at the world that transformed fire management. In the 1960s, fire scientists and ecologists realized that suppression had a serious downside. When every fire was put out, it meant that the amount of fuel -- plants, dead timber and the like - available to burn increased dramatically. Fire, it turned out, served a natural function. It kept vegetation down and made fires burn less hot and consequently less destructive. Forests that burned on an annual and every-few-year-cycle turned into meadows; when fire was suppressed they again became forests. A little bit of fire, it turned out, did a lot of good things.
So we tried something new: controlled burning, a name for the practice of allowing fire to burn for the purpose of making later fires less severe. This idea went under many names and had many dimensions, but the overall goal was the same. Use natural fire -- lightning and the like -- or introduced fire, fires started intentionally in accordance with the plans of specific federal agencies, to lessen the damage from catastrophic fire and sometimes to recreate historic environments. This too worked well, within reason, but it was truly playing with fire. And when people play with fire, whether in Greek mythology or in modern America, they sometimes get burned.
The burning began in the most dramatic of ways, with the torching of Yellowstone National Park in 1988. It has continued off and on, culminating in the disastrous Cerro Grande Fire at Bandelier National Monument in New Mexico in 2000 that nearly destroyed Los Alamos, the town where the atomic bomb was developed. Rodeo-Chideski, Hayman, Biscuit, and others followed in a hurry. When controlled fire escaped or natural fire was allowed to burn, they sometimes created exactly what the policy was supposed to prevent: catastrophic fire. Not only did these fires destroy hundreds of thousands of acres, they also sent the entire idea of controlled burning up in smoke.
It leaves us with a dilemma, one that seems particularly poignant this year, as the West suffers through another year of drought and the fires inexorably begin. We can’t just suppress; nor can we always control the fires we let burn.
The problem is not with the land managers; it is a problem on the land itself, one visible to anyone who hikes in any western forest. Suppression may have worked too well and 35 or so years of controlled burning have only treated a small amount of western land. It is a tinderbox out there, folks!
So we face a devil’s bargain. Our responses are too small for the problem and the consequences of failure too great to imagine. After 35 years of controlled burning, the Park Service, the most aggressive federal agency in implementing the practice, has managed to treat 2m. of its 80m. acres. The Forest Service, with much more land, is only now implementing plans to routinely use fire as a tool. We may have waited too long to fully implement introduced fire on western landscapes.
So now we are in a bind. If suppression isn’t applied, communities that have encroached on the forests and ridges of the West – and there have been no shortage of them from the Colorado mountains to the California coast – can expect to find themselves very hot indeed. Political leaders echo the cries of their constituents. Put the fires out now; save lives and property. Smokey the Bear’s still around too. Now, like everyone else, he’s got his own website.
But controlled burning has become anathema to the public. We can’t really let fires burn, even when they’re natural in origin and far from people. We’ve been singed too many times in recent years and fire managers and the leadership in every federal and state land management agency are rightly a little nervous about letting fires go. The implications if one gets away are great; the ramifications are too big to risk.
But we can’t just suppress either. All we do is defer catastrophic fire to a later date, fully aware that everyday a fuel load builds is a hotter, more destructive, more difficult fire to contain. Politics and science have crossed swords and there are no easy answers.
So the crews ready to fight the fires once again, and we all hope that the rains come early. A new model for western fire management has yet to emerge, but one must. We see the beginnings of a new flexibility in the management plans of individual forests and in the overall planning of the National Interagency Fire Center in Boise. Suppression will remain necessary, the default response when fire threatens lives and property. Controlled and natural burning will increase on public land as a way to avert the enormous fires we have seen in recent years. As a working strategy, this is sufficient; as a master plan, it is only a start.
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Comments
A couple points of criticism, if I may:
***One of the important principles of fire ecology that is perpetually miscommunicated in the media, is that not every forest (or rangeland, or woodland) burns alike. Historically speaking, some forests burned rather frequently, while others burned infrequently. These fire return intervals varied widely from every few years to many centuries. Similarly, the degree to which vegetation is negatively impacted (termed fire severity by ecologists) also varies widely by forest (and rangeland) type. Much of the Western landscape suffers the effects of 90 or so years of fire suppression, as you describe. But not nearly all of it. We should be careful not to mischaracterise the entire landscape, as such. Complexity does not lend itself to easy description, but that doesn't excuse us from acknowledging that complexity exists, and that it is important to understand as much of it as we can.
***To say that "controlled burning has become anathema to the public" is, at least I hope, wildly exaggerated. Public acceptance of fire as a necessary, if not natural part of fully-functioning ecosystems certainly varies from place to place. Problems arise when transplants from areas where fire is uncommon move to fire-prone lands, bringing with them their culturally ingrained prejudices. Even native-borns have may have no memory of fire as a natural process, where fire suppression has been in place for longer than their lifetimes. But I think, or at least I hope, that a substantial fraction of our citizenry understands the importance of returning fire to the landscape, at least in some sense.
***"Catastrophic fire" and fire that "destroys hundreds of thousands of acres" are pure hyperbole, and are very unhelpful. Fire ecologists call this so-called "catastrophic fire" "stand-replacing fire". It happened historically, it happens now, and it will continue in perpetuity. We cannot eliminate it. In many vegetation types such as high elevation lodgepole pine and spruce-fir forests, as well as California chapperal, stand-replacing fire is imperative and ultimately unpreventable. We are certainly seeing much more frequent and widespread stand-replacing fire than we should be in places that don't typically experience this type of fire, and you have described this problem well. But even the largest-scale contemporary fires do not burn 100% as stand-replacing fires. Not nearly so.
In closing, I want to reaffirm that you have told an important story that cannot be told loud enough or often enough. We face a difficult dilemna here in the West, regarding our fire-prone landscapes. But it is a dilemna largely of our own making, and Mother nature ultimately does not give a rip for our dilemnas. In addition to accepting fire as a natural process, and making a concerted effort to right our previously-inflicted wrongs upon the land, we must ultimately learn to live upon the land in ways that are ultimately acceptable to the good Mother.
Thanks Hal
I thought I would drop you a line in regards to the oft-repeated articles on the lack of firefighting air tankers and the increased threat of wildland fires this year after last year's record losses. As Paul Harvey says each week: "You know what the news is...but now you'll hear the rest of the story". Each year, as each state started experiencing a growing, but far from disastrous, wildfire problem I, as I have for several years, contacted representatives from the various Governors' offices and State Foresters' offices, offering the services of the world's largest and most effective firefighting air tankers. The IL-76 Waterbombers can stop a raging wildland fire over an area equal to twelve football fields in less than twelve seconds! These remarkable planes belong to the Russian Government and have been offered to the USFS each year since 1995! They are, on average, more than ten times larger than the small, antique air tankers now under private contract to the USFS. The USFS, however, refuses to consider allowing ANY non-contractor aircraft to assist in the firefighting efforts, even though the IL-76 is the ONLY air tanker possessing heat-seeking radar and capable of flying firefighting missions safely throughout the night, when ALL USFS-contracted planes are grounded. Neither the Governors or State Foresters would interfere with USFS procedures, preferring instead to let everything burn. The FAA, State Department and Department of Defense were all in favor of permitting Russian participation. Only the USFS stood in the way..The results are painfully obvious. All the Russians requested was housing for the crew (provided by DoD) and fuel for the missions (paid for by FEMA). The services would have been free to those states requesting assistance. Both Reps. Rohrabacher (R-CA) and Weldon (R-PA) have condemned the USFS for its failure to allow outside assistance in times of emergencies, but the USFS refuses to budge. For additional information take a look at the website and get back with me. This year's fire season is predicted to be even worse than last. The IL-76 Waterbomber, because of its gravity-flow delivery system, is far more effective than the converted 747, but the USFS continues to keep EVERY new, large, air tanker out of U.S. service for fear of alienating its private contractors,, flying the WWII-vintage planes. Will your readers, citizens, ranchers and farmers stand by and suffer more losses this year without demanding more advanced firefighting technology and fewer lies from the US Forest Service? Best wishes, Tom Robinson, Chief, Global Emergency Response http://www.waterbomber.com 804-240-4065
Are we going to spend more and more money fighting nature in battles year after year that are only settled by nature herself, rains in particular? For example, already this year in New Mexico, the USFS spent $745,000 ($5,500 per acre) to suppress a single, small and fairly remote fire in the Manzano Mountains. It sounds like another giant federal spending year fighting nature's own fuel maintenance program.
Nearly every large, uncontrolled fire resists our suppression efforts until a change in weather. So, is it wise to build bigger and better, military-style, fire fighting apparatus'? We can spend on this symptom until we are red in the face or totally bankrupt or we can consider the deeper issues or causes of the problem as was so eloquently pointed out by Hal Rothman and McGregor O'Looney.
Forests will burn; can we live somewhat safely under that ecological law? I think we can if we restrict development in fire prone forests and carefully plan for wildland fires, including the amount of taxpayer dollars we will spend suppressing it. Of course, private contractors want in on this lucrative business of fire suppression and it’s an easy sell to a fearful public. Such a military-industrial fire-fighting complex needs to foment our hysteria to capitalize on fear, otherwise there's nothing to sell.
Will we as the taxpaying owners of our federal forest system allow this ruse or can we rise above it? Please go to Forest Guardians website to learn more. http://www.fguardians.org/sf/wildland-fire.asp.
The really important point is that under such conditions we simply can not stop the blazes and it's a waste of time to try. Furthermore, even if thinning, and fuels reduction controlled burns were permitted, the amount of land that must be treated is so huge, we simply can not effect a significant reduction by such means. Not to mention that many areas that are treated must be retreated within 20-30 years to remain effective.
The bottom line folks is that we are going to have a lot of big fires. We are not going to be able to stop them, and we waste money trying to do so. And the best thing we can do is get out of the way. This includes making sure that people are simply not permitted to construct homes in the hinderlands. We have to treat fire ecosystems like we treat flood plains--places where people simply should not be--and artifical solutions like levees will fail.
It's not fair to allow personal choices dictate public policy. Private property advocates and anti planning opponents that thwart zoning and planning typically also hate high taxes--but they are creating a need for added tax revenues by their positions.
I noticed, Hal, that the evil word LOGGING is not mentioned at ALL here. Not in the responses, not in your story.
You can't have fire on the landscape unless the fuels are at or below historic levels, and let's make it clear that historic is not one hundred percent NATURAL. Where fires suited Indian purposes, they happened when Mom Nature forgot. It's time to stop blowing smoke about not allowing people to reside near forests, or in them. It's time to stop maundering about prescription fire alone and start thinking in an integrated manner. That means landscape-scale projects with enough commercial component to cross-subsidize the crappy parts...in short, log some good stuff, log some junk, and light off what is left just before it snows, then salvage the getaways that winter before the veg cycle starts again.
It's possible, but only if groups like Bryan's can restrain their lawyers...and if they can't, well, at some point those turkeys in Congress will make it possible by changing the laws.
And yeah, it might even be time to bring ashore a couple of those Russki Ilyushins and let 'em rip. After all, this is about the environment, right?
You don't get it. Logging doesn't stop the big blazes. It's a smoke screen for the timber industry. If logging were so effective, the big fires of 88 would not have burned right through clearcuts on the Targhee NF. We not had fires burn through clearcuts on the Biscuit Fires in Oregon. We would not have fires burn through.... name your location--well you get the picture. I can take you to almost any large fire and show where under the conditions of high wind and drought fires torn right through logged and thinned stands. Winds blow fire brands up to a mile ahead of blazes, making any thinning and/or even fuel reduction useless unless of course you plan to remove all the trees in the West--something that physically we can not do yet--thank god.
In fact, in some circumstances logging makes the risk of fire even worse because it opens up forests to greater drying effects of wind, and allows permits greater wind penetration, sometimes enhancing the chances of fire ignitation and spread.
In addition, the vast majority of larger fires start from human ignitions, and logging roads create corridors for human entry, again increasing the likelihood of fires.
Dave all of this is documented in various studies--studies which the FS tends to ignore of course since they see themselves as lackeys to the timber industry. But you want an honest discussion about fire, one comes to the conclusion that logging and thinning are ineffective on a landscape scale--though they might be appropriate for protecting individual homes and communities--assuming all those anti government and property rights folks who live in these kinds of out in the woods location want to pay for this themselves.
What about the drying effect of overstocked stands that suck themselves out of luck early in the summer, especially in drought years? We're not talking the Hoh forest, but stuff like in Idaho, doghair that is toasty warm and toasty dry by July first most years. Even here in Montana, you can smell the lack of moisture on top of the sap.
And I could march you right to harvest units that are still green, surrounded by Cajunized mature forest with 100 percent mortality.
Hal is right about catastrophic fire. Exclusion has been, over the long run, not real smart. Not all fires are good.
And you are wrong about landscape-level ineffectiveness. After all, aren't you all in a lather about the effectiveness of landscape-level management in the first place? The reason for the "ineffectiveness" you mention in terms of moderating wildfire intensities is due in large part to the litigousness of certain political and ideological allies of yours.
I understand you deep-ecology adherents have a thing about people mucking about with pristine Nature and I guess that will never change. Fine, be ecocentric, and I'll be anthrocentric. But until Gaia cooks you up some virus and grants you your deepest wish, humans are here to stay and that is the context.
The question is, what is going to work for the environment AND for the people who live in it? And since people make the decisions about the environment in the end, it seems to me you should be paying more attention to them and their wants. In theory, at least, this IS a free country.
Oh, and best wishes to Doug Tompkins.
There is no such thing as a bad fire. The "overstocked" forests you mentioned (and I know them--I havelived in Montana for more than 30 years)are like deer herds with not enough winter range in a harsh winter. Natural attrition brings them in balance with available food. Drought, insects, and fire all contribute to the same effect in forests.
No landscape level is impossible to do. Even logging at full capacity it would be difficult to thin all the forests in the West--long before you got done with the first thinning, you would be on to the second thinning. But you are missing the key point I made--big blazes are not fuel driven. That is they are driven by climatic conditions. Wind blows fire brands ahead of the blazes.
In reality if those trees with 100% mortality make it through the summer without a blaze--and drop their needles, they will be less of a fire hazard than the green forests.
In a serious drought the "green" forests you mention are more flammable than the dead ones because they continue to transpire moisture through their needles, reducing the internal moisture content, often well below kiln dried lumber. For instance, log cabin companies make a big deal about having wood that is 19% dry but some green trees have been measured with 4-5% moisture content. Add to this extra dry condition under drought stress the fact that these trees have natural resins that are highly flammable and you have a real wild fire on your hands. Go out and light up a "green" subalpine fir in the end of a summer drought and you'll get an idea of what I'm talking about. They burn like they have gasoline in them.
So really the best thing to happen our forests is for most of the trees die from natural causes like pine beetles, etc.--this would immediatley reduce fire hazard.
And that would "reduce fire hazard" ??
Now I understand just how distorted your perspective really is. Thank you for elucidating me.
You're again missing my point. Does it makes sense to lose a bunch of money trying to stop fires that can't be stopped?
You are like those who want to build higher levees in New Orleans to keep out the flood waters. A smart person realizes that they are better off building on higher ground. You can't hold back the ocean, and you can't hold back fires.
It is time to take the power away from nuts like this, go back to logging and preventing a lot of the beetle infestations that are now occuring as we have more and more dead timber standing and spreading disease thru more and more forests. We have not only seen far more forests burned to the ground, but the ground destroyed by erosion from these folks that are terrified that someone will make a living from "their public land".
In response to Marion, its astounding how difficult it is for humans to learn from our mistakes. Correct me if I am wrong, but we just spent the last 100 or so years logging the heck out of our western forests, often to "prevent" beetle infestations and fire. The result: more infestation and bigger fires. Now you want to go back and repeat the same mistake. Its like saying oh you're dying from lung cancer because you smoked all your life, you'd better smoke some more cigarettes.
Now we have drought and climate change to confound the situation. Now is the time to make some major adjustments in forest management.
No one I know of is opposed entirely to making a living from "their public land." In fact, I know many advocates for sustainable, restoration-based jobs in the forest. We've got a lot of work ahead of us to undoing the damage from 100 years of logging, fire suppression, and grazing. There will be many jobs associated with this work. Maybe not pulling out the big logs and punching new roads into pristine forests, but none-the-less, working.
But you have to look forward through the windshield not backwards in the rear-view mirror. You wouldn't drive your car like that now, would you?
I don't have to worry about my house burning down from a forest fire. I live in town. Though my house is adjacent to a river, I don't worry about floods either because I don't live in the flood plain either. People who choose to live in the woods need to be held responsible for their own foolish choices--isn't that what conservatives are preaching all the time. Come on Marion, a responsible person doesn't build in the woods--and at the very least if they choose to this, they shouldn't come whining to the rest of us when a fire burns their house down.
George, I bet if you do a survey, a very large percentage of the folk who can and do live in forest areas consider themselves environmentalists, Jackson Hole is an example. Oak Creek is too, although I will admit, if I could have afforded it, I would have had a home there when I lived in Arizona.
You seldom see fires in the towns and areas where logging takes plae.
The largest recorded fires in history were in October 1871 (Peshtigo, Wisconsin and Michigan, 3,780,000 acres and 1,500 lives lost) and August 1910 (Great Idaho, Idaho and Montana, 3,000,000 acres and 85 lives lost). As far as I can tell, there have only been a couple of fires over one million acres since 1970. A little bit before the 25 year period that you cited. I guess you'd better check your history, Marion. http://www.nifc.gov/stats/historicalstats.html
Also, in 2000 two cabinet Secretaries sent a report to the President concluding that: "The removal of large, merchantable trees from forests does not reduce fire risk and may, in fact, increase such risk." (From Dept. of Agriculture and Interior, Report to the President (September 2000))
The Sierra Nevada Ecosystem Project Report which analyzed sixteen National Forests in the Sierra Nevada found: “Timber harvest, through its effects on forest structure, local microclimate, and fuel accumulation, has increased fire severity more than any other recent human activity. If not accompanied by adequate reduction of fuels, logging (including salvage of dead and dying trees) increases fire hazard by increasing surface dead fuels and changing the local microclimate. Fire intensity and expected fire spread rates thus increase locally and in areas adjacent to harvest.” (Summary of the Sierra Nevada Ecosystem Project Report, Wildland Resources Center Report No. 39, ISBN 1-887673-03-2, p. 6)
"Fire severity has generally increased and fire frequency has generally decreased over the last 200 years. The primary causative factors behind fire regime changes are effective fire prevention and suppression strategies, selection and regeneration cutting, domestic livestock grazing, and the introduction of exotic plants.” (Integrated Scientific Assessment for Ecosystem Management in the Interior Columbia Basin (PNW-GTR-382))
And George, I really like your "responsible" angle and living in town and all that. But plenty of your fellows have rural residences...it's okay for them (Jakester Jagoff Kreilick, for example) while at they same time protesting others wanting the same.
I just cannot believe this. How anyone can advocate allowing valuable forests to go up in smoke, risking the loss not just of money and the very "ecosystem components" everyone's saying they want to keep, but of all the blood and treasure spent in the past to protect these resources from societally-unacceptable loss, well, it's so irrational I cannot comprehend it.
I must wonder if closing our mental institutions was such a good idea after all.
The removal of large trees may not reduce the chance of fires unless they are diseased, which makes a big difference. the next time you drive thru a forest note the number of dead trees. They are the environmentalists beetle nursery.
You boys are talking about the same thing- BIOMASS.
Dave likes the old pumpkins because they make money when you log them and George likes fire because it has always been necessary for the cycling of BIOMASS.
It makes sense to me that the old pumpkins survive fires best when they aren't buried in the thickets below them. The problem is that Dave can't even make a buck off of the junk under the pumpkins.
So the answer becomes let nature take it's course
and we will all start from scratch.
George gets his fire and Dave gets to fire up the old D-9 Dozer and punch in some serious emergency catline at premium profit margins. (maybe even get some salvage).
-End of issue.
George likes fires, and post-fire litigation, because it slows our evil, meat-eating, wool-wearing, overconsumptive economy.
But you bring up something important, Mike, the ladder fuels issue. And biomass.
Would you rather burn the junk on the ground where it goes up your nose, dirty? Or whackem and packem to a power facility where the fuel becomes useful energy in a relatively clean manner?
How about this for a deal. You let my buddies play in the woods, cut enough pumpkins to pay to drag out all the scruff to a biomass plant that has a contract to take the wood for a nice long time, AND pay for the follow-up underburn, and put out a contract that works across the landscape over a period of years while emphasising an initial fuel-breaking treatment period, and in a few decades that contract area WILL have fire, AND logging, as part of an integrated management regime that is ecologically and fiscally FAR more "responsible" and "sustainable" than any cockamamie let-it-all-burn tootiefrootery.
Shake?
http://www.azcentral.com/arizonarepublic/opinions/articles/0625sunlets251.html