My Page: Lance Olsen

New West Unfiltered Insights : the U.S. housing/finance crisis

The most surprising thing about today's housing/finance crisis is that it caught so many millions of Americans by surprise, and leaves so many confused. That was understandable the first time, in the 1980s, when a similar boom of lending and building brought the S&Ls to a collapse. It's less forgiveable now. A few selected quotes can help bring some clarity to the confusion. [more]

New West Unfiltered New West Real Estate Conference: Past Present & Future

New West's 2007 Real Estate Conference was based more on realism than boosterism. This year's conference thus has real promise of more of the same. Future conferences could add some key themes as permanent features. [more]

New West Unfiltered Briefly : In memory of Lee Metcalf

Would Lee be appalled at what's become of FACA? [more]

New West Unfiltered Financial meltdowns should be no surprise

The most surprising thing about the current combined crisis of real estate, banking, and the economy is that anyone would be surprised. While many thoughtful people have described how such crises are shaped and driven, and while many find their world rocked each time the next one arrives, it always takes the next new recurrence to bring reality home. Perhaps a simple reading list may help avert the next one. [more]

New West Unfiltered The end of growth

For some decades now, there has been rigorous debate about limits to growth. But even the proponents of growth have seen it coming, and taken action in response. [more]

New West Unfiltered Northern Rockies Ecosystem Protection Act

For all the political controversy swarming around it, NREPA is still well supported by science. [more]

New West Unfiltered The much-dreaded “underpopulation” problem

Some have hypothesized that human underpopulation is as great a problem as overpopulation, or even greater. A case history, briefly reviewed here, supports the adage that crisis and opportunity exist together. [more]

New West Unfiltered Booms Contrast with Conservation

Booms as described by money gurus and the business/financial press. [more]

New West Unfiltered glimpses of fire

3 scenarios for the future of fire [more]

New West Unfiltered Consensus: Risk and Reward

Consensus decision-making has gained increasing popularity in recent years. Dissenters are often dismissed as malcontents or worse. At the same time, though, it's worth remembering that authors including playwright Ibsen, psychoanalyst Freud, and real estate economist Robert Shiller have raised enduring questions about it. The take-home lesson is that consensus can impose risk as well as reward. [more]