By Lance Olsen, New West Unfiltered 8-04-07
Pork & policics reside in the same household..been dat way for a long time an will be for ages after our deaths..
Comment By Lance Olsen, 8-04-07Amen. And do you also agree that pork can be used well or badly?
Comment By Craig Moore, 8-04-07See: http://www.nwd-wc.usace.army.mil/report/hgh.htm
With Hungry Horse Dam being in federal hands, what is the position of Senators Baucus and Tester on the urgency to prevent the disaster you indicate may happen? If the dam goes when full it would wipe out the town of Hungry Horse, take a major swipe at Columbia Falls, and then head south along the Flathead River basin to Kalispell, and then south to the Bigfork area and into Flathead Lake. If the dam is unsafe, perhaps the water level should be reduced to half or a third until safety is addressed.
Craig
I'm not sure that Senators Baucus and Tester are aware that Hungry Horse Dam could collapse, either from earthquake or from heavy runoff. Governor Schweitzer, however, does know that the dam is vulnerable to collapse from heavy runoff. And I followed up on his order to run a drill on that scenario by writing him a letter urging him to look at the earthquake scenario, which has been acknowledged by FERC, and which would come without warning, thus killing thousands who could and likely would be evacuated in the heavy runoff scenario.
Schweitzer did not reply. And western Montana's major newspapers did not respond when I urged them to cover the risk of earthquake. This failure to respond may have been simply because news is not news until it has already happened.
The only media response I got was from Missoula's weekly Independent, which subsequently ran a major feature (cover) story on the dam as part of a broader coverage of potentials for natural disaster in Montana.
When I spoke to emergency planners in the area, one scoffed at the risk, plausibly because earthquake risk is difficult to anticipate. Another reminded me that his organization is only set up to respond after the fact of disaster, and has no mandate or funding for prevention. And I believe that federal funding for emergency planning has been solely devoted to post-9/11 issues.
Alas, however, Montana is the fourth most seismically active state in the nation, and Hungry Horse Dam is located on and/or very near major faults.
I stumbled across the earthquake risk to the human population downstream from Hungry Horse Dam while poking around the 'net for information on another topic. Feeling the weight of guilty knowledge, I gave it all the time I could, hoping that people living under the dam's shadow would pick up the issue on their own.
My own take is that this dangerous dam could be replaced by two lower dams that would deliver the same amount of power generation (provided that our new climate will keep river flow at levels we've come to expect), and with great reduction of quake-driven risk. Due to lack of interest, however, I expect this option to remain shelved until after runoff or quake forces the issue, similarly to the option for strengthening levees around New Orleans.
Lance Olsen
Lance,
Why not submit your column with the additonal info of a Tin Ear problem as a Letter to the Editor to the GFT, Daily Interlake, Whitefish Pilot, Hungry Horse News, and the Missoulian? Worth a shot.
Craig
Alas, that was what I thought a couple years back, when I sent newspapers a press package including documents from FERC and FEMA, when the story was still hot -- soon after Governor Schweitzer ordered emergency service to run a drill testing their readiness for evacuation of thousands of people.
I think I've already played my hand, and that the media and politicians need to hear from other than me. Complicating things even more, I'm already overcommitted with some other demanding topics, including the consequences of rising temperatures on the spaces and species (for example, a lively prospect of widespread forest death) of the Northern Plains and Northern Rockies.
The Hungry Horse Dam risk was worth the shot I gave it when I set other matters aside for that reason. Unfortunately, I've had to let it go at that although, as you know, I did take some time to compose a little something about it again, for New West.
Lance
Lance, it seems to be that in the time you wrote the column, responded to me twice, you could have penned a Letter to the Editor to the media sources I highlighted. Your previous info package is not the same thing. As you know , a Letter to the Editor is really a letter to the people. I appreciate that you are busy but your relunctance to follow up with this minor step has me scratching my head given the seriousness that you claim. No disrespect intended, but it has the feel of "ring the bell, dump and run."
Comment By Lance Olsen, 8-06-07Mea culpa.
Lance
Great article Lance, perceptive and well thought out as always. When the dam goes, the news media of the world will be there 24/7 wringing their virtual hands over yet another "natural" disaster, while taking great delight in photographing the carnage from every angle.
The problem is that there is no carnage to boost media ratings if a disaster is prevented. A million airplanes may land safely at airports around the world today. Ho-hum. No photo-ops there.
Apparently there was "no money" for adequate maintenance available to make sure the bridge was safe, but as soon as it collapsed, millions or billions suddenly appeared as if by magic to build a new bridge.
Just like the levees in New Orleans. The US was not willing to spend any money on them, but now multiple billions have been misspent in Louisiana after Katrina, with abysmal results. Katrina was not a natural disaster at all. Few of the disasters are, except possibly for tornadoes. Even damage from earthquakes can be prevented, we have the technology and know-how. What we lack is the interest until after the "disaster" strikes.