Poll: McCain Up 4 in Montana

By Matthew Frank, 10-28-08

With Election Day a week away, John McCain has a four point advantage over Barack Obama in Montana, 48 percent to 44 percent, according to a NBC/MasonDixon poll released Tuesday.

Analysis from msnbc:

This Montana poll, in fact, comes just as we’ve learned that the Republican National Committee’s independent expenditure arm will begin advertising there tomorrow. [Click here for more on that.] That’s right, folks—Montana is still in play, and the race there could even be closer than the poll suggests when 1) popular Gov. Brian Schweitzer (D) is at the top of the ticket; 2) Sen. Max Baucus (D) is cruising to re-election; and 3) the state GOP there is in a mess.

Today’s poll is on target with the average of all polls conducted in the state so far. Here’s the polling trend from Pollster.com: