watching the polls
McCain’s Lead in Montana Dwindling, Poll Shows
By Matthew Frank, 10-09-08
John McCain’s lead over Barack Obama in Montana is shrinking, according to a poll released Thursday by American Research Group.
McCain is now up by five points—50 percent to 45 percent—compared to last week’s eight point advantage (in a Rasmussen Reports poll) and double-digit advantages two weeks ago (in polls conducted by Research 2000 and CNN/Time Opinion Research).
Poll details from ARG:
Sample size: 600 likely voters. Margin of error: ± 4 percentage points.
(For what it’s worth, ARG is considered by some to be a less-reliable pollster. Click here for one expert’s explanation.)
In 2004, Montana preferred Bush over Kerry by 20 points.
Like this story? Get more! Sign up for our free newsletters.
Next entry: McCain’s Lead in Montana Dwindling, Poll Shows
Tags for this article
Tag cloud for all articles
missoula,
politics,
environment,
idaho,
colorado,
business and the new economy,
new west network topics,
montana,
development,
bozeman,
salt lake city,
travel & outdoors,
rockies,
utah,
western montana,
boise,
new west living,
land use & development,
new mexico,
outdoor recreation,
northern idaho,
idaho northern/panhandle,
bend,
boulder,
columbia gorge,
flathead valley,
wyoming,
idaho politics,
montana politics,
real estate,
snow blog,
community blogs,
wildlife,
music,
land & water,
parks & national forests,
jackson hole,
wildland fire,
colorado politics,
technology,
habitat,
arts, film & events,
oregon,
featured photo,
getaways,
utah politics,
news & author interviews,
abq / santa fe,
wild bill,
tourism,
washington,
bob wire blog,
outdoors (c426),
climate change,
transportation,
demographics,
reviews & essays,
diary of a mad voter,
front range,
new mexico politics,
Comments
I'm not a Ron Paul supporter, but I do think leaving him out of the picture is a huge error on your part because he's on the ballot, and his supporters haven't gone anywhere. He will be McCain's undoing in this election.
Your poll has a 4 percent margin for error, and Paul definitely got a four percent showing in the primaries which means this poll is basically a waste of money and readers' time. I'm not slamming new west. That's true of all the other Montana polls that have done the same thing, even those at national news organizations who just didn't take the time to check with the secretary of state about Paul being on the ballot.
It is slightly misinforming to your readers though because it cuts out a candidate who is actually on the ballot. That's kind of a huge ommission.
I would expect better from every paper except the daily interlake. They are different.
The short bus should drive as fast or far as the long one. Sorry Frank.