Diary of a Mad Voter: Joan McCarter

The Bloom is Off the Rose

Now that grim economic reality sets in just a little deeper with every bank failure, the Disneyesque story of a plain spoken hockey mom who just might become vice president just doesn't seem so captivating.

By Joan McCarter, 9-26-08

 
 

A couple of weeks ago, one Mountain West scribe announced “A Western woman redefines the presidential race.”

In one decision, John McCain has reshuffled the election deck—especially in the West.

His pick of Idaho native Sarah Palin for vice president means McCain has a good chance to win Montana, Nevada, New Mexico and maybe even Colorado, which were all leaning toward Barack Obama. If she doesn’t screw up, builds on her great personal story, continues to highlight her maverick style and finds a way to energize social conservatives without making the election about abortion or intelligent design, she can also help him hold the South and challenge in Wisconsin and Michigan....

The biggest risk is that voters will find the two-year governor of Alaska and former mayor of a small town unqualified to succeed the 72-year old McCain. But the gun-toting University of Idaho graduate will appeal to many Westerners, especially young Westerners, in a way no other pick could have done.

It turns out that this breath of fresh air has turned out to be just another politician, and not a very polished one, at that. The McCain campaign has assiduously kept her away from the public spotlight, and the few national interviews she’s done have been, well, painful. Here she is talking economics with Katie Couric:

COURIC: Why isn’t it better, Governor Palin, to spend $700 billion helping middle-class families struggling with health care, housing, gas and groceries? ... Instead of helping these big financial institutions that played a role in creating this mess?

PALIN: Ultimately, what the bailout does is help those who are concerned about the health care reform that is needed to help shore up the economy– Oh, it’s got to be about job creation too. So health care reform and reducing taxes and reining in spending has got to accompany tax reductions.

Never mind that the bailout, as currently structured, is all about writing a blank check to the huge financial institutions without a whole lot of trickle down to the people who had their lives gambled away by those huge financial institutions. But reducing taxes has to accompany tax reductions?

The vacuousness is one thing. The typical politician’s hypocrisy is quite another, and unlikely to make Western voters really buy into that “maverick style.” Today, the Washington Post reports on just how much of a typical, non-mavericky politician Palin is.

Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, who has made a crackdown on gift-giving to state officials a centerpiece of her ethics reform agenda, has accepted gifts valued at $25,367 from industry executives, municipalities and a cultural center whose board includes officials from some of the largest mining interests in the state, a review of state records shows.

The 41 gifts Palin accepted during her 20 months as governor include honorific tributes, expensive artwork and free travel for a family member. They also include more than $2,500 in personal items from Calista, a large Alaska native corporation with a variety of pending state regulatory and budgetary issues, and a gold-nugget pin valued at $1,200 from the city of Nome, which lobbies on municipal, local and capital budget matters, documents show.

About a quarter of the entities bestowing gifts on the governor are represented by one of Alaska’s most influential mining lobbyists, who said in an interview that she was not involved in the tributes. The lobbyist, Wendy Chamberlain, has a relationship with the governor’s family through the friendship of their teenage daughters....

Palin forwarded her ethics proposals to the legislature in January 2007, her first month in office. That month, she accepted three gifts from Calista’s chief executive, Matthew Nicolai: a $2,200 ivory puffin mask, a woven grass fan worth $300 and a $150 ivory necklace. Nicolai, who did not return phone calls, runs the large corporation, which profits from a multibillion-dollar gold-mining operation on its land.

So much for ethics reform in the Alaska statehouse.

Alaskans seem to be the first to be catching on, which makes sense given that they’ve known her the longest. They may think she’s ok as a governor, but they’re really not keen on her abilities to perform on the national stage, particularly in the key area of international relations. A majority of Alaskans--44 to 32 percent--would rather see Joe Biden in the hot seat if we face an international crisis.

But the polls, national and in the West, really tell the story on whether Palin was the game changer. Even in a FOX News poll, that organization most likely to find the silver lining for the Republicans, there’s been a 20 point swing toward Obama/Biden since the Republican National Convention. And in that time, Palin’s favorability is down 16 points. In those key states where Palin was supposed to shore up McCain, it’s been bad news for the Republicans; “In the key state of Pennsylvania, Obama now leads by 9. In Wisconsin, it’s +7, Colorado +4, Michigan +4, Minnesota +2, and Virginia +3. Even in Florida it’s +2.”

McCain is gaining in Montana, the only one of the likely Western swing states where he’s gaining serious ground over Obama. In New Mexico, the composite of polls show Obama up by over 6 points. McCain holds a very slim lead in purple Nevada, just 1.5 points.

It’s looking like McCain’s hail Mary pass (the Palin one as opposed to the “suspending my campaign” or “we can’t debate now” hail Mary passes) really only remains popular in the states he was going to get anyway. They may love Sarah in Idaho, but does that really make any difference?

Editor’s note: Joan McCarter’s weekly blogs are part of NewWest.Net/Politics’ “Diary of a Mad Voter” feature, a group blog, published in partnership with the Denver Post’s Politics West intended give a glimpse into the hearts and minds of several independent-minded voters and thinkers in the Rocky Mountain West in the ‘08 election cycle. For more columns check in with www.newwest.net/madvoter. And for more information on each of the bloggers, click here.



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Comments

By Cawren, 9-26-08
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